Under South Africa's constitution, voters elect 400 members of the National Assembly
JOHANNESBURG - South Africans vote in national and provincial elections on May 29 with opinion polls suggesting the governing African National Congress will lose its majority for the first time in the democratic era, while remaining the largest party.
Over the past four electoral cycles, the ANC's share of the vote gradually dropped, but never by more than five percentage points from one election to the next. Most analysts say this is unlikely unless the ANC vote share is around 40% or less, a worst-case-scenario for the party. A more probable scenario would be for Ramaphosa to hand over to a successor in an orderly transition part way through his term.
Analysts say the socially conservative Inkatha Freedom Party , which is strong in KwaZulu-Natal province and is polling at about 5% nationally, could be the ANC's first choice, though the IFP leader says it would rather not prop up the ANC. The price of a deal with either of those would likely be significant policy concessions by the ANC, as well as the offer of some senior government positions for their partner.
However, many analysts think the ideological divide between the ANC and the DA is so wide as to make a deal difficult or impossible.
پاکستان تازہ ترین خبریں, پاکستان عنوانات
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